Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Texas?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Texas — and anyone looking to move to Texas — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Lone Star State for 2019:
- Bellmead (Photos)
- Donna (Photos)
- Humble (Photos)
- Texarkana (Photos)
- Alamo (Photos)
- Beaumont (Photos)
- Houston (Photos)
- Elsa (Photos)
- San Antonio (Photos)
After analyzing 327 cities in Texas, why did Bellmead take the top spot?
For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on.
Or learn more about the safest places in Texas.
For more Texas reading, check out:
- 10 Best Places To Live In Texas
- These Are The 10 Best Counties To Live In Texas
- 10 Cheapest Places To Live In Texas
Graphing The Most Dangerous And Safest Places In Texas
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Texas for 2019?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2017 data, specifically the 2017 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available in September 2019.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 327 cities in Texas.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 327 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Texas — Bellmead.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Texas.
Bellmead’s motto might tout that the city is “a great place to live,” but its status as the 1st most dangerous city in Texas might stain that saying a bit.
Bellmead residents have a 1 in 15.4 chance of being the victim of a property crime every year.
Violent crime has also gone up nearly 30% between 2015-17, with a higher than 1 in 43 chance of being the victim of violence.
Continuing the trend of this area of the state of Texas being a hotbed of danger, Donna, located along Interstate 2, is one of the places to avoid. Residents in Donna have a 1 in 18.1 chance of being the victim of a car theft or home invasion robbery.
The average American has 338 contacts on Facebook. To put that into perspective, more than 20 people you’re friends with would have been robbed last year if all of them lived in Donna, Texas.
Tiny Humble, the smallest city by far in our top 20, is where muggers go to thrive. There were the 1st-most robberies per capita in the entire state in 2017 here.
Humble borders the George Bush International Airport to the east. Is it a coincidence that so many robberies take place so close to a major airport?
No surprises here that Texarkana ranked so high on the list, because we ran a study on the most dangerous cities in Arkansas, and Texarkana, Arkansas was really high on that list.
Residents in Texarkana have a 1 in 20.1 chance of being the victim of a property crime, meaning a car theft, home break-in or fraud. However, crime in Texarkana has been steadily declining over the last few years, which is a good thing,
Located just a stone’s throw from Weslaco on Interstate 2 lies Alamo. Crime has steadily remained a real concern here since 2011. Currently, 1 out of 108 residents has the chance of being the victim of a violent crime here.
Additionally, Alamo is the 12th-highest city in terms of thefts in the state of Texas.
Beaumont is, essentially the second-most dangerous place in the state of Texas for violent crimes. Only tiny Raymondville, population 11,654, inland from South Padre Island, is statistically, more dangerous than Beaumont.
Residents in Beaumont have a staggering 1 in 90 chance of being assaulted, raped or killed every year. Yikes. And it seems to be climbing quickly in Beaumont over the last few years as well.
Rank Last Year: 2 (Down 5)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 897 (12th most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,403 (20th most dangerous)
More on Palmview: Data
Palmview comes in as the most dangerous city in the state. It has the 12th highest rate of violent crime, and places 20th for its rate of property crime.
Residents of Palmview had a 1 in 22.7 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2017. They also had a 1 in 111 chance of being the victim of violence.
The rivalry between Dallas and Houston is turned up a notch here, as Houston is the 8th-most dangerous place in the state of Texas. Dallas, on the other hand, is 53rd, while Fort Worth ranks 64th.
The population of Houston might make these statistics stand out like a sore thumb, but in 2017, more than 25,609 people were either killed, attacked or raped in Houston. Wow.
Both property crime and violent crime fell in Elsa between 2015-17, but both bounced back up in 2017 relative to the one year previous.
Residents still faced a 1 in 79 chance of being the victim of violence in 2017.
Rounding out the top 10 dangerous cities is San Antonio.
San Antonio has seen property crimes decrease recently, so law enforcement must be cracking down on vehicle thefts and home invasion robberies. Statistically, 1 in 141 people in San Antonio were raped, attacked or murdered in 2017. Wow.
Locking It All Up In Texas
The latest FBI crime data shows that Bellmead ranks as the most dangerous city in Texas for 2019.
We want to point out again that there’s still safes places in Bellmead and that this isn’t a comment on the people that live there. So please don’t beat us up.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Texas:
- Fair Oaks Ranch (Pop. 9,042)
- Melissa (Pop. 9,270)
- Kermit (Pop. 6,459)
For more Texas reading, check out:
- 10 Best Places To Raise A Family In Texas
- These Are The 10 Best Places To Retire In Texas
- These Are The 10 Richest Cities In Texas
- 10 Safest Places In Texas
- 10 Worst Places To Live In Texas
Detailed List Of The Most Dangerous Cities In Texas