These Are The 10 Most Dangerous Cities In Maryland For 2017

We used data and science to identify the most dangerous cities in the Old Line State for 2017.

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Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Maryland?

We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.

No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Maryland — and anyone looking to move to Maryland — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.

Surprisingly, Baltimore doesn’t take the top spot. The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Old Line State:

  1. Elkton (Photos)
  2. Cambridge (Photos)
  3. Baltimore (Photos)
  4. Salisbury (Photos)
  5. Cumberland (Photos)
  6. Bladensburg (Photos)
  7. Hyattsville (Photos)
  8. Mount Rainier (Photos)
  9. Chestertown
  10. Hagerstown (Photos)

Why did Elkton take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in Maryland.

If you’re looking for something more national, check out the most dangerous cities in America or the most dangerous states in America.

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How we determined the most dangerous cities in Maryland for 2017?

Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.

For our analysis, we focused on the second release of 2015 data, specifically the 2015 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2016 in September 2017.

So what criteria did we use? Have a look:

  • Violent Crimes Per Capita
  • Property Crimes Per Capita

In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 33 cities in Maryland.

We then ranked each city from 1 to 33 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.

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Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.

Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Maryland — Elkton. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Maryland.

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1. Elkton

Elkton, Maryland

Source: Wikipedia

Population: 15,940
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,273
Property Crimes Per 100k: 7,333
Located on the northeastern shore of Maryland, Elkton isn’t the worst city in for violent crime, but placing 1st for property crime and 3rd for violent crime earns the city its 1st place ranking on this list.

Residents of Elkton faced a 1 in 78 chance of being the victim of violence, and a 1 in 13.6 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2015.

2. Cambridge

Cambridge, Maryland

Source: Wikipedia

Population: 12,606
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,300
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,314
Cambridge is the fourth most populous city on Maryland’s eastern shore (behind Salisbury, Easton, and Elkton) and the 2nd most dangerous, ranking 2nd and 4th in violent and property crime statistics.

Residents of Cambridge faced a nearly 1% chance of being the victim of violence in 2015, which reflected a 23% drop from 2011.

Property crime has also gone down in recent years, but not by nearly as much.

3. Baltimore

Baltimore, Maryland

Source: Wikipedia

Population: 621,252
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,535
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,980
Ah Baltimore — you were probably expecting this to top the list as the most dangerous city in Maryland, and you’d be right in terms of violence.

After all, you don’t earn a nickname like Bodymore, Murderland for nothing — there were 344 murders committed in 2015.

To put that in perspective, if Baltimore had the population of New York City, there’d be 3,141 murders a year, and over 110,000 instances of violent crime.

4. Salisbury

Salisbury, Maryland

Source: Wikipedia

Population: 33,125
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 938
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,440
Located in southeastern Maryland on the Delmarva Peninsula, Salisbury isn’t as violent as the above cities, but residents still face a 1 in 106 chance of being the victim of violence.

That’s still 36% less violent than Baltimore, but that’s hardly a high standard to hold to a city.

The good news is that violent crime dropped by a modest 13% between 2013-15, while Baltimore’s wickedly high rate of violence has remained stagnant in recent years.

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5. Cumberland

Cumberland, Maryland

Source: Wikipedia

Population: 20,095
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 716
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,618
Located in the western part of the state, the Cumberland Metro area is among the poorest in the U.S. in terms of per capita income.

That may be related to its high levels of both property and violent crime, with residents facing 1 in 15.1 chance of being the victim of theft or arson each year.

Only very small improvements were made between 2013-15, with about a 5% decrease in each category of crime.

6. Bladensburg

Bladensburg, Maryland

Source: Wikipedia

Population: 9,686
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 836
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,437
Located 9 miles from central Washington, D.C., Bladensburg is the 6th most dangerous city in Maryland.

With residents facing a 1 in 119 chance of being the victim of violence in 2015, Bladensburg is the most violent of the D.C. suburbs that make up several spots on our list of the most dangerous places in Maryland.

7. Hyattsville

Hyattsville, Maryland

Source: Wikipedia

Population: 18,605
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 451
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,568
Just 6 miles east of DC, Hyattsville is the least violent of the D.C. suburbs, and the least violent place on this list overall.

That’s partially due to a massive 47% drop in violent crime between 2013-15, as well as a 17% drop in property crime.

Still, Hyattsville residents had a 1 in 18.0 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2015.

8. Mount Rainier

Mount Rainier, Maryland

Source: Flickr

Population: 8,515
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 516
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,323
A suburb of D.C., Mount Rainier is only .65 sq. miles, but it sure packs a lot of crime into a small space.

The good news is that from 2013-15, violent crime dropped 32% and property crime by 22%.

The bad news is, with 44 instances of violent crime occurring in a year, there was (on average) a violent crime committed every .013 sq. miles.

9. Chestertown

Population: 5,092
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 903
Property Crimes Per 100k: 2,297
The least populated city on this list, Chestertown’s crime rate has gotten pretty extreme.

Between 2013-15, violent crime went up to 46 occurrences, leaving Chestertown’s residents a 1 in 110 chance of being the victim of a violent crime in 2015.

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Property crime remained stagnant during these years, with residents of Chestertown having about a 1 in 43.5 chance of being the victim of theft or arson each year.

10. Hagerstown

Hagerstown, Maryland

Source: Wikipedia

Population: 40,470
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 593
Property Crimes Per 100k: 2,688
Hagerstown isn’t in the top ten for either category of crime in Maryland, but its cumulatively bad score earns it the last spot on this list.

Violent crime sits at 10th overall in 2015, while property crime ranks 14th.

Locking It All Up In Maryland

The latest FBI crime data shows that Elkton ranks as the most dangerous city in Maryland for 2017.

However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Elkton’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.

If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Maryland:

  1. Ocean Pines
  2. Bowie
  3. Taneytown

For more Maryland reading , check out:

Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In Maryland

Rank City Population Violent Crimes Per Capita Property Crimes Per Capita
1 Elkton 15,940 1,273 7,333
2 Cambridge 12,606 1,300 6,314
3 Baltimore 621,252 1,535 4,980
4 Salisbury 33,125 938 5,440
5 Cumberland 20,095 716 6,618
6 Bladensburg 9,686 836 3,437
7 Hyattsville 18,605 451 5,568
8 Mount Rainier 8,515 516 3,323
9 Chestertown 5,092 903 2,297
10 Hagerstown 40,470 593 2,688
11 Fruitland 5,187 192 7,171
12 Laurel 26,406 446 3,287
13 La Plata 9,048 386 3,393
14 Greenbelt 24,385 446 3,092
15 Annapolis 38,986 484 2,506
16 Westminster 18,754 319 3,903
17 Aberdeen 15,551 559 2,077
18 Riverdale Park 7,341 708 1,975
19 Brunswick 6,156 633 1,835
20 Easton 16,781 375 2,669
21 Frederick 69,162 493 2,032
22 Cheverly 6,516 352 2,470
23 Havre De Grace 13,639 249 2,096
24 New Carrollton 12,847 420 1,720
25 Bel Air 10,295 194 2,107
26 District Heights 6,175 340 696
27 Frostburg 8,606 104 1,986
28 Glenarden 6,360 235 817
29 Thurmont 6,502 138 1,199
30 Hampstead 6,371 141 1,114
31 Taneytown 6,757 162 932
32 Bowie 58,304 113 1,176
33 Ocean Pines 12,163 49 443

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