Now that we’re headed towards the next big election, we wanted to get a better sense of what parts of Arizona would be the most likely to back Donald Trump again.
Specifically, which cities have the highest number of conservative voters in the Grand Canyon State?
To do so, we used Saturday Night Science to measure how each city in Arizona with populations greater than 5,000 voted in past elections. The cities with the highest percentage of voters who voted Republican were named the most conservative cities in the state.
Table Of Contents: Top Ten | Methodology | Summary | Table
The 10 most conservative places in Arizona for 2024
If you’re wondering, Nogales is the most liberal city in Arizona of all those we measured.
And to be clear, we didn’t form this list based on our own biases — we relied on the cold hard data. For more on how we ran the numbers, keep on reading. Then we’ll take a closer look at each of our top 10 most conservative cities in Arizona.
Additional reading about Arizona and the most conservative places in the country:
The 10 Most Conservative Places In Arizona For 2024
/10
Percent Republican: 75.0%
More on Lake Havasu City: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 75.0%
More on Kingman: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 75.0%
More on Bullhead City: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 71.7%
More on Thatcher: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 71.7%
More on Safford: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 66.4%
More on Payson: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 66.4%
More on Globe: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 63.9%
More on Prescott: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 63.9%
More on Cottonwood: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
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Percent Republican: 63.9%
More on Chino Valley: Data | Crime | Cost Of Living | Real Estate
How we determined the most conservative cities in Arizona for 2024
To find the most conservative places in Arizona, we used Saturday Night Science – the argument you’d make at a bar – to find the cities with the most conservatives.
We started by making a list of every city in Arizona over 5,000 people based on the 2018-2022 American Community Survey. That left us with 55 cities and towns.
We then measured the voting record and MIT election data to determine which places rock the most rightward in their allegiances by:
- Percentage Of Votes For The Republican President In 2020
Because no voting data exists at the city level, we used county-level election results from the 2020 election. We assigned every city in a county the percentage of votes that went to the Republicans, effectively extending the county’s results to the city level. In cases where larger cities encompassed an entire county, the election outcomes accurately reflected the city’s political landscape.
Next, we ranked each city from 1 to 55 for each criterion, where number one was the most conservative.
The winner, Lake Havasu City, is “The Most Conservative City in Arizona For 2024”. The most liberal place in Arizona was Nogales.
We updated this article for 2024. This report is our tenth time ranking the most conservative places to live in Arizona.
Summing Up The Conservative Strongholds in Arizona
Well, there you have it, the places in Arizona that have the highest number of conservatives per capita, with Lake Havasu City ranking as the most conservative in the entire state.
The most conservative cities in Arizona are Lake Havasu City, Kingman, Bullhead City, Thatcher, Safford, Payson, Globe, Prescott, Cottonwood, and Chino Valley.
If you’re curious, here are the least conservative cities in Arizona:
- Nogales
- Flagstaff
- Page
For more Arizona reading, check out:
- Best Places To Live In Arizona
- Cheapest Places To Live In Arizona
- Most Dangerous Cities In Arizona
- Richest Cities In Arizona
- Safest Places In Arizona
- Worst Places To Live In Arizona
- Most Expensive Places To Live In Arizona
Most Conservative Places In Arizona
| Rank | City | Population | % Conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Havasu City, AZ | 57,294 | 75.0% |
| 2 | Kingman, AZ | 33,052 | 75.0% |
| 3 | Bullhead City, AZ | 41,593 | 75.0% |
| 4 | Thatcher, AZ | 5,281 | 71.7% |
| 5 | Safford, AZ | 10,112 | 71.7% |
| 6 | Payson, AZ | 16,363 | 66.4% |
| 7 | Globe, AZ | 7,230 | 66.4% |
| 8 | Prescott, AZ | 46,054 | 63.9% |
| 9 | Cottonwood, AZ | 12,314 | 63.9% |
| 10 | Chino Valley, AZ | 13,120 | 63.9% |
| 11 | Prescott Valley, AZ | 47,015 | 63.9% |
| 12 | Peoria, AZ | 191,292 | 63.9% |
| 13 | Camp Verde, AZ | 12,132 | 63.9% |
| 14 | Sedona, AZ | 9,739 | 63.9% |
| 15 | Wickenburg, AZ | 7,600 | 63.9% |
| 16 | Benson, AZ | 5,318 | 58.8% |
| 17 | Sierra Vista, AZ | 45,212 | 58.8% |
| 18 | Douglas, AZ | 16,301 | 58.8% |
| 19 | Casa Grande, AZ | 55,186 | 57.9% |
| 20 | Coolidge, AZ | 14,175 | 57.9% |
| 21 | Marana, AZ | 52,542 | 57.9% |
| 22 | Apache Junction, AZ | 38,855 | 57.9% |
| 23 | Eloy, AZ | 16,075 | 57.9% |
| 24 | Maricopa, AZ | 59,605 | 57.9% |
| 25 | Florence, AZ | 25,783 | 57.9% |
| 26 | Queen Creek, AZ | 61,788 | 57.9% |
| 27 | Snowflake, AZ | 6,192 | 53.4% |
| 28 | Show Low, AZ | 11,767 | 53.4% |
| 29 | Winslow, AZ | 8,943 | 53.4% |
| 30 | Yuma, AZ | 96,314 | 52.3% |
| 31 | San Luis, AZ | 35,189 | 52.3% |
| 32 | Somerton, AZ | 14,278 | 52.3% |
| 33 | Paradise Valley, AZ | 12,672 | 48.1% |
| 34 | Glendale, AZ | 248,083 | 48.1% |
| 35 | Youn, AZ | 6,980 | 48.1% |
| 36 | El Mirage, AZ | 35,652 | 48.1% |
| 37 | Tolleson, AZ | 7,221 | 48.1% |
| 38 | Phoenix, AZ | 1,609,456 | 48.1% |
| 39 | Gilbert, AZ | 267,267 | 48.1% |
| 40 | Scottsdale, AZ | 240,537 | 48.1% |
| 41 | Mesa, AZ | 503,390 | 48.1% |
| 42 | Tempe, AZ | 181,005 | 48.1% |
| 43 | Litchfield Park, AZ | 6,794 | 48.1% |
| 44 | Fountain Hills, AZ | 23,739 | 48.1% |
| 45 | Surprise, AZ | 145,591 | 48.1% |
| 46 | Goodyear, AZ | 97,542 | 48.1% |
| 47 | Chandler, AZ | 275,618 | 48.1% |
| 48 | Guadalupe, AZ | 5,335 | 48.1% |
| 49 | Avondale, AZ | 89,214 | 48.1% |
| 50 | Oro Valley, AZ | 47,053 | 39.9% |
| 51 | Sahuarita, AZ | 34,238 | 39.9% |
| 52 | Tucson, AZ | 541,033 | 39.9% |
| 53 | Page, AZ | 7,444 | 36.9% |
| 54 | Flagstaff, AZ | 76,177 | 36.9% |
| 55 | Nogales, AZ | 19,761 | 31.7% |
