These Are The 10 Most Dangerous Cities In Arizona For 2019


We used data and science to identify the most dangerous cities in the Grand Canyon State for 2019.

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This article is an opinion based on facts and is meant as infotainment. Don’t freak out that we updated it for 2019.

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Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Arizona?

We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.

No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Arizona — and anyone looking to move to Arizona — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.

The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Grand Canyon State for 2019:

  1. Tolleson (Photos)
  2. Globe (Photos)
  3. Holbrook (Photos)
  4. Tucson (Photos)
  5. Winslow (Photos)
  6. Page (Photos)
  7. Kingman (Photos)
  8. Glendale (Photos)
  9. Show Low (Photos)
  10. Tempe (Photos)

After analyzing 49 cities in Arizona, why did Tolleson take the top spot?

For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on.

Or learn more about the safest places in Arizona.

If you’re looking for something more national, check out the most dangerous cities in America or the most dangerous states in America.

For more Arizona reading, check out:

Graphing The Most Dangerous And Safest Places In Arizona

Most Dangerous Cities In Arizona Graph

Click To Enlarge

How we determined the most dangerous cities in Arizona for 2019?

Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.

For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2017 data, specifically the 2017 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available in September 2019.

So what criteria did we use? Have a look:

  • Violent Crimes Per Capita
  • Property Crimes Per Capita

In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 49 cities in Arizona.

We then ranked each city from 1 to 49 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.

Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.

Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Arizona — Tolleson.

Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Arizona.

Tolleson, AZ

Overall SnackAbility

5
/10

Population: 7,289
Rank Last Year:
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 932 (2nd most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 10,605 (1st most dangerous)
More on Tolleson:  Data | Photos

While Tolleson’s motto is “honoring our past, positioning our future,” its 1st place spot on this list puts a grim cloud over its future prospects.

It’s 1st in property crime, with residents facing a 1 in 9.4 chance.

The good news for the city’s future is that violent crime has fallen in recent years.

Globe, AZ

Source: Public domain

Overall SnackAbility

5
/10

Population: 7,349
Rank Last Year:
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,714 (1st most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 7,538 (3rd most dangerous)
More on Globe:  Data | Photos

Located in south-central Arizona, Globe was founded as a mining camp. Today it’s the 2nd most dangerous city in the state.

Unlike other cities on the list, Globe has seen a recent boom in crime, with violent crime going up from 2015-17, and property crime also going up.

Watch your wallet in Globe, because there’s a 1 in 13.3 chance of being the victim of a property crime while you’re there.

Holbrook, AZ

Source: Public domain

Overall SnackAbility

6
/10

Population: 5,077
Rank Last Year: 4 (Up 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 866 (3rd most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,022 (5th most dangerous)
More on Holbrook:  Data | Photos

Coming in 3rd place for most dangerous places in Arizona is Holbrook.

Here residents face a 1 in 115 chance of being the victim of a violent crime, and a 1 in 19.9 shot for property crime.

Property crime has been pretty consistent lately, while violent crime is on an upward trend, meaning it may overtake some of the other cities in a few years if the situation continues.

Tucson, AZ

Source: Public domain

Overall SnackAbility

4
/10

Population: 532,323
Rank Last Year: 3 (Down 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 801 (5th most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,251 (4th most dangerous)
More on Tucson:  Data | Photos

Tucson’s 4th place ranking on this list isn’t much of a surprise — it’s the 2nd biggest city in Arizona.

Tucson ranked 4th for property crime, 2017’s numbers reflect a 1 in 19.0 chance of being the victim of one.

Tucson’s slowly falling violent crime statistics are much worse than the state average coming in at 5th place.

Winslow, AZ

Source: Public domain

Overall SnackAbility

1
/10

Population: 9,764
Rank Last Year: 2 (Down 2)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 686 (7th most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 8,142 (2nd most dangerous)
More on Winslow:  Data | Photos

Also located in Navajo County, Winslow has the honor of being a city referenced in the Eagles song “Take it Easy.”

Unfortunately, it’s also the 6th most dangerous city in Arizona, with residents 1 in 98 odds of being the victim of a violent crime.

The good news is that violent crime has been dropping steadily, and property crime is down 33% in the last 2 year period that data is available.

Page, AZ

Overall SnackAbility

4
/10

Population: 7,632
Rank Last Year: 1 (Down 5)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 838 (4th most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,874 (7th most dangerous)
More on Page:  Data | Photos

Page’s motto is “the center of Canyon County,” but the city is also the center of the 6th highest danger level in Arizona.

To give you an idea just how much more dangerous South Tucson is than anywhere else, though, consider that Page, as the 6th most dangerous, has a 3 times lower rate of violent crime and half the rate of property crime.

While that still leaves a 1 in 119chance of being the victim of a violent crime, the encouraging news is that this rate has fallen by 44% from 2015-17, and property crime also fell some in the same time period.

Kingman, AZ

Overall SnackAbility

5
/10

Population: 29,181
Rank Last Year: 10 (Up 3)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 448 (13th most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,951 (6th most dangerous)
More on Kingman:  Data | Photos

Kingman’s motto might tout that the city is “a great place to live,” but its status as the 7th most dangerous city in Arizona might stain that saying a bit.

Kingman residents have a 1 in 20.2 chance of being the victim of a property crime every year.

Violent crime has also gone up nearly 30% between 2015-17, with a higher than 1 in 222 chance of being the victim of violence.

Glendale, AZ

Overall SnackAbility

6
/10

Population: 249,273
Rank Last Year: 5 (Down 2)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 488 (11th most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,530 (8th most dangerous)
More on Glendale:  Data | Photos

Glendale is only 9 miles northwest of downtown Phoenix, making it the closest city on this list to Arizona’s capital.

While there’s still a 1 in 22.1 chance of being the victim of a property crime in Glendale, their crime statistics in both categories have been falling steadily.

Show Low, AZ

Overall SnackAbility

6
/10

Population: 11,163
Rank Last Year: 29 (Up 20)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 537 (8th most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,887 (13th most dangerous)
More on Show Low:  Data | Photos

Located in Navajo County, Show Low’s unusual name is the result of a marathon poker game with no less than 100,000 acres at stake.

It has the 5th place position on this list, and 3rd worst violent crime statistics in the state.

And the 1 in 85 chance of being the victim of a violent crime isn’t getting any better — from 2015-17, the amount of violent crime rose by 35%.

Tempe, AZ

Overall SnackAbility

7
/10

Population: 186,086
Rank Last Year: 6 (Down 4)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 474 (12th most dangerous)
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,121 (10th most dangerous)
More on Tempe:  Data | Photos

Tempe placed 10th on our list due, in part, to a 1 in 24.3 chance of being the victim of a property crime.

Locking It All Up In Arizona

The latest FBI crime data shows that Tolleson ranks as the most dangerous city in Arizona for 2019.

We want to point out again that there’s still safes places in Tolleson and that this isn’t a comment on the people that live there. So please don’t beat us up.

If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Arizona:

  1. Thatcher (Pop. 5,054)
  2. Oro Valley (Pop. 44,251)
  3. Florence (Pop. 25,623)

For more Arizona reading, check out:

Detailed List Of The Most Dangerous Cities In Arizona

Rank City Population Violent Crimes Per Capita Property Crimes Per Capita
1 Tolleson 7,289 932 10,605
2 Globe 7,349 1,714 7,538
3 Holbrook 5,077 866 5,022
4 Tucson 532,323 801 5,251
5 Winslow 9,764 686 8,142
6 Page 7,632 838 4,874
7 Kingman 29,181 448 4,951
8 Glendale 249,273 488 4,530
9 Show Low 11,163 537 3,887
10 Tempe 186,086 474 4,121
11 Phoenix 1,644,177 760 3,670
12 Coolidge 12,645 308 4,191
13 Flagstaff 72,388 424 3,769
14 Eloy 17,552 512 2,894
15 Avondale 84,041 305 3,982
16 Yuma 95,522 514 2,716
17 Sierra Vista 42,859 445 3,002
18 Cottonwood 12,116 404 3,136
19 Payson 15,504 374 3,586
20 Douglas 16,443 249 3,995
21 Snowflake-Taylor 10,025 448 2,364
22 Safford 9,617 239 3,774
23 Goodyear 79,419 264 2,870
24 Mesa 492,268 415 2,171
25 Camp Verde 11,299 292 2,548
26 Prescott 42,975 365 2,101
27 Nogales 19,878 216 2,882
28 El Mirage 35,611 238 2,822
29 Chandler 249,355 259 2,329
30 Bullhead City 40,039 92 3,696
31 Wickenburg 6,979 286 2,034
32 Apache Junction 40,672 196 2,372
33 Peoria 165,889 249 2,040
34 Lake Havasu City 53,937 222 2,158
35 Scottsdale 251,840 157 2,172
36 Prescott Valley 43,891 195 2,143
37 Marana 45,123 88 2,623
38 Eagar 5,001 239 919
39 San Luis 32,823 134 1,593
40 Surprise 135,345 88 1,788
41 Maricopa 47,466 191 1,272
42 Buckeye 67,147 47 1,715
43 Sahuarita 29,373 95 1,116
44 Somerton 15,082 125 1,060
45 Gilbert 242,090 85 1,385
46 Paradise Valley 14,629 41 1,517
47 Thatcher 5,054 19 1,681
48 Oro Valley 44,251 38 1,414
49 Florence 25,623 74 480

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5 thoughts on “These Are The 10 Most Dangerous Cities In Arizona For 2019

  1. Page Motto correction.. “You don’t lose your girlfriend, you lose your turn.” Years ago, you could buy bumper stickers and magnets that said that.

  2. Theft is probably out highest crime in the area. We have out fair share of runaways, more rape and molestation then reported because of corruption in police and courts. Shit hole.

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