Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Arizona?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Arizona — and anyone looking to move to Arizona — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Grand Canyon State for 2019:
- Tolleson (Photos)
- Globe (Photos)
- Holbrook (Photos)
- Tucson (Photos)
- Winslow (Photos)
- Page (Photos)
- Kingman (Photos)
- Glendale (Photos)
- Show Low (Photos)
- Tempe (Photos)
After analyzing 49 cities in Arizona, why did Tolleson take the top spot?
For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on.
Or learn more about the safest places in Arizona.
For more Arizona reading, check out:
- 10 Best Places To Live In Arizona
- These Are The 10 Best Counties To Live In Arizona
- 10 Cheapest Places To Live In Arizona
Graphing The Most Dangerous And Safest Places In Arizona
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Arizona for 2019?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2017 data, specifically the 2017 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available in September 2019.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 49 cities in Arizona.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 49 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Arizona — Tolleson.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Arizona.
While Tolleson’s motto is “honoring our past, positioning our future,” its 1st place spot on this list puts a grim cloud over its future prospects.
It’s 1st in property crime, with residents facing a 1 in 9.4 chance.
The good news for the city’s future is that violent crime has fallen in recent years.
Located in south-central Arizona, Globe was founded as a mining camp. Today it’s the 2nd most dangerous city in the state.
Unlike other cities on the list, Globe has seen a recent boom in crime, with violent crime going up from 2015-17, and property crime also going up.
Watch your wallet in Globe, because there’s a 1 in 13.3 chance of being the victim of a property crime while you’re there.
Coming in 3rd place for most dangerous places in Arizona is Holbrook.
Here residents face a 1 in 115 chance of being the victim of a violent crime, and a 1 in 19.9 shot for property crime.
Property crime has been pretty consistent lately, while violent crime is on an upward trend, meaning it may overtake some of the other cities in a few years if the situation continues.
Tucson’s 4th place ranking on this list isn’t much of a surprise — it’s the 2nd biggest city in Arizona.
Tucson ranked 4th for property crime, 2017’s numbers reflect a 1 in 19.0 chance of being the victim of one.
Tucson’s slowly falling violent crime statistics are much worse than the state average coming in at 5th place.
Also located in Navajo County, Winslow has the honor of being a city referenced in the Eagles song “Take it Easy.”
Unfortunately, it’s also the 6th most dangerous city in Arizona, with residents 1 in 98 odds of being the victim of a violent crime.
The good news is that violent crime has been dropping steadily, and property crime is down 33% in the last 2 year period that data is available.
Page’s motto is “the center of Canyon County,” but the city is also the center of the 6th highest danger level in Arizona.
To give you an idea just how much more dangerous South Tucson is than anywhere else, though, consider that Page, as the 6th most dangerous, has a 3 times lower rate of violent crime and half the rate of property crime.
While that still leaves a 1 in 119chance of being the victim of a violent crime, the encouraging news is that this rate has fallen by 44% from 2015-17, and property crime also fell some in the same time period.
Kingman’s motto might tout that the city is “a great place to live,” but its status as the 7th most dangerous city in Arizona might stain that saying a bit.
Kingman residents have a 1 in 20.2 chance of being the victim of a property crime every year.
Violent crime has also gone up nearly 30% between 2015-17, with a higher than 1 in 222 chance of being the victim of violence.
Glendale is only 9 miles northwest of downtown Phoenix, making it the closest city on this list to Arizona’s capital.
While there’s still a 1 in 22.1 chance of being the victim of a property crime in Glendale, their crime statistics in both categories have been falling steadily.
Located in Navajo County, Show Low’s unusual name is the result of a marathon poker game with no less than 100,000 acres at stake.
It has the 5th place position on this list, and 3rd worst violent crime statistics in the state.
And the 1 in 85 chance of being the victim of a violent crime isn’t getting any better — from 2015-17, the amount of violent crime rose by 35%.
Tempe placed 10th on our list due, in part, to a 1 in 24.3 chance of being the victim of a property crime.
Locking It All Up In Arizona
The latest FBI crime data shows that Tolleson ranks as the most dangerous city in Arizona for 2019.
We want to point out again that there’s still safes places in Tolleson and that this isn’t a comment on the people that live there. So please don’t beat us up.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Arizona:
- Thatcher (Pop. 5,054)
- Oro Valley (Pop. 44,251)
- Florence (Pop. 25,623)
For more Arizona reading, check out:
- 10 Best Places To Raise A Family In Arizona
- These Are The 10 Best Places To Retire In Arizona For 2018
- These Are The 10 Richest Cities In Arizona
- 10 Safest Places In Arizona
- 10 Worst Places To Live In Arizona
Detailed List Of The Most Dangerous Cities In Arizona
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