Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Illinois?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Illinois — and anyone looking to move to Illinois — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Prairie State:
- Danville (Photos)
- Mount Vernon (Photos)
- Murphysboro (Photos)
- Springfield (Photos)
- Kankakee (Photos)
- Rockford (Photos)
- Peoria (Photos)
- Belleville (Photos)
- Alton (Photos)
- Metropolis (Photos)
Why did Danville take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in Illinois.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Illinois for 2018?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2016 data, specifically the 2016 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2017 in October 2018.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 299 cities in Illinois.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 299 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Illinois — Danville. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Illinois.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Illinois.
Population: 31,931Rank Last Year: 1 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,572
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,931
Danville is the 3rd most violent city in Illinois and places as the most dangerous overall.
Instances of violent crime leave Danville residents with a 1 in 63 chance of being the victim of violence in 2016.
Property crime is also at a consistently high level, with about 1 case of theft or arson for every 16.9 residents, each year.
2. Mount Vernon
Population: 15,053Rank Last Year: 2 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,288
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,155
Mount Vernon might be known as the King City, but it’ll have to settle for 2nd place in this contest.
With high rates of both property and violent crime, which have either stayed the same or slightly increased in recent years, Mount Vernon is certainly one of the least safe places in the state.
There is a 1 in 19.4 chance of being the victim of a property crime in Mount Vernon, which is nearly double the odds someone would face in Chi-town.
Population: 7,726Rank Last Year: 15 (Up 12)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 763
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,604
While Murphysboro is a known speed trap with rigorous enforcement of speeding laws, it is also a relative hot bed for the occurrence of crime.
As the FBI aggregates crime data based on reporting from local municipalities, it wouldn’t surprise us if Murphysboro ranks highly simply because the police department does an excellent job of reporting crimes that occur within its city limits.
Murphysboro has the 10th most violent crimes in Illinois.
Population: 116,563Rank Last Year: 3 (Down 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,116
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,425
Based on the fact that the Springfield that the Simpsons live in only has one bumbling criminal in it, it’s a safe bet that they’re not from Springfield, Illinois.
Although there has been a drop in property crime and a much more modest drop in violent crime from 2014-16, the improvements haven’t been enough to get the state’s capital, Springfield, outta the top 5.
Population: 26,509Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 765
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,141
Located an hour south of Chicago, Kankakee has been working towards more substantial improvements than Carbondale, which may explain why its ranked slightly safer today.
Between 2014-16, Kankakee saw an 18% drop in property crimes and a 23% drop in violent crimes. If this rate of crime reduction continues, #9 Kankakee may be off this list in no time.
Population: 147,363Rank Last Year: 6 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,658
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,776
Rockford is the largest city you’ll be seeing on this list and the 5th largest city in the state.
Located in northern Illinois about 80 miles west of Chicago, Rockford residents face a staggeringly high 1 in 60 chance of being attacked, raped, or killed. That’s almost 3 times as likely as it is in the Windy City.
Population: 115,099Rank Last Year: 11 (Up 4)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 760
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,847
The largest city in Peoria County, Peoria has experienced a 13% increase in its violent crime rate and a 19% rise in property crime rate between 2014-16.
Folks in Peoria had about a 1 in 26.0 chance of being robbed or burnt in 2016, which is just the heavy price you pay for living in Peoria.
Population: 41,638Rank Last Year: 12 (Up 4)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 607
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,984
Belleville is the most populous city in St. Clair County.
Belleville experienced a massive rise in violent crime between 2014-16.
Property crime statistics, meanwhile, remained stagnant, with residents facing a 1 in 25.1 chance of being the victim of theft or arson each year — the 16th highest rate in the state.
Population: 26,829Rank Last Year: 10 (Up 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 533
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,999
A city of Madison County, Alton’s ranked as the 9th most dangerous city in Illinois.
With regards to crime, Alton has little to celebrate of late, with violent and property crime rates each going up by roughly 11% between 2014-16.
There’s now a 1 in 22.1 chance of being the victim of a crime.
Population: 6,290Rank Last Year: 7 (Down 3)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 572
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,895
Metropolis, a city in Massac County, has seen its crime increase overall for the last few years. According to the FBI, violent crimes have nearly doubled here, and residents have a 1 in 174 chance of being robbed.
Additionally, there were 36 attacks in a city of only 6,290 residents.
Locking It All Up In Illinois
The latest FBI crime data shows that Danville ranks as the most dangerous city in Illinois for 2018.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Danville’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Illinois:
- Western Springs
- Hawthorn Woods
For more Illinois reading , check out:
- These Are The 10 Whitest Cities In Illinois
- 10 Small Towns In Illinois Where You’d Never Want To Live
- A Hilarious Look At The 10 Most Redneck Cities In Illinois
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In Illinois
|East St. Louis||32||14||26,769|
|Country Club Hills||49||52||16,844|