Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Illinois?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Illinois — and anyone looking to move to Illinois — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Prairie State for 2019:
- Danville (Photos)
- Springfield (Photos)
- Centralia (Photos)
- Metropolis (Photos)
- Rockford (Photos)
- Peoria (Photos)
- Kankakee (Photos)
- Hoopeston (Photos)
- Harrisburg (Photos)
- Alton (Photos)
After analyzing 300 cities in Illinois, why did Danville take the top spot?
For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on.
Or learn more about the safest places in Illinois.
For more Illinois reading, check out:
- 10 Best Places To Live In Illinois
- These Are The 10 Best Counties To Live In Illinois
- 10 Cheapest Places To Live In Illinois
Graphing The Most Dangerous And Safest Places In Illinois
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Illinois for 2019?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2017 data, specifically the 2017 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available in September 2019.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 300 cities in Illinois.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 300 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Illinois — Danville.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Illinois.
Danville is the 2nd most violent city in Illinois and places as the most dangerous overall.
Instances of violent crime leave Danville residents with a 1 in 57 chance of being the victim of violence in 2017.
Property crime is also at a consistently high level, with about 1 case of theft or arson for every 17.1 residents, each year.
Based on the fact that the Springfield that the Simpsons live in only has one bumbling criminal in it, it’s a safe bet that they’re not from Springfield, Illinois.
Although there has been a drop in property crime and a much more modest drop in violent crime from 2015-17, the improvements haven’t been enough to get the state’s capital, Springfield, outta the top 5.
Located in (you guessed it) central Illinois, Centralia has a mix of good and bad news concerning its crime numbers.
Violent crime decreased 2015-17, which is an achievement. Apparently the thieves and vandals didn’t get the memo, though, as property crime statistics have pretty much stayed the same. And with a 1 in 25.5 chance of being the victim of a property crime, that is very bad news.
The 265th-largest city in Illinois is a dangerous one. Though crime looks like it ticked down recently, it’s still, statistically, the 4th most dangerous place in the state of Illinois.
Residents here have a 1 in 148 chance of being the victim of a violent crime, which includes rape, aggravated assault and murders.
Rockford is the largest city you’ll be seeing on this list and the 5th largest city in the state.
Located in northern Illinois about 80 miles west of Chicago, Rockford residents face a staggeringly high 1 in 62 chance of being attacked, raped, or killed. That’s almost 3 times as likely as it is in the Windy City.
Peoria experienced a rise in violent crime between 2015-17.
Still, the 1 in 131 chance Peoria residents faced of being the victim of violence in 2017 is still lower than other places in the state.
Meanwhile, you have a 1 in 23.7 chance of being the victim of a property crime, making Peoria the 13th worst city in Illinois with regards to theft and arson.
Located an hour south of Chicago, Kankakee has been working towards more substantial improvements than Carbondale, which may explain why its ranked slightly safer today.
Between 2015-17, Kankakee saw an 18% drop in property crimes and a 23% drop in violent crimes. If this rate of crime reduction continues, #9 Kankakee may be off this list in no time.
The trajectory of Hoopeston’s crime rate gives it a 8th place finish in our analysis.
Violent crime shot up from 2015-17, while instances of property crime also went up.
That left residents of Hoopeston with a 1 in 111 chance of being the victim of a violent crime in 2017.
Harrisburg residents faced a 1 in 87 chance of being the victim of violence in 2017 and a 1 in 29.5 chance of being the victim of a property crime — both statistics that have barely changed in recent years.
It’s the 6th most violent city.
Alton is safer than the city above it, but it’s still the 10th most dangerous city in Illinois.
There’s a 1 in 17th chance of being the victim of theft or arson — pretty darn high — and those numbers have remained consistently high in recent years.
Locking It All Up In Illinois
The latest FBI crime data shows that Danville ranks as the most dangerous city in Illinois for 2019.
We want to point out again that there’s still safes places in Danville and that this isn’t a comment on the people that live there. So please don’t beat us up.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Illinois:
- Hawthorn Woods (Pop. 8,234)
- Willow Springs (Pop. 5,645)
- Campton Hills (Pop. 11,342)
For more Illinois reading, check out:
- 10 Best Places To Raise A Family In Illinois
- These Are The 10 Best Places To Retire In Illinois For 2018
- These Are The 10 Richest Cities In Illinois
- 10 Safest Places In Illinois
- 10 Worst Places To Live In Illinois
Detailed List Of The Most Dangerous Cities In Illinois
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|38||Country Club Hills||16,651|