Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Kentucky?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Kentucky — and anyone looking to move to Kentucky — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Bluegrass State:
- Hazard (Photos)
- Newport (Photos)
- Paducah (Photos)
- Bowling Green (Photos)
- Louisville (Photos)
- Shively (Photos)
- Frankfort (Photos)
- Princeton (Photos)
- Winchester (Photos)
- Campbellsville (Photos)
Why did Hazard take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in Kentucky.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Kentucky for 2017?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the second release of 2015 data, specifically the 2015 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2016 in September 2017.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 75 cities in Kentucky.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 75 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Kentucky — Hazard. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Kentucky.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Kentucky.
Population: 5,308Violent Crimes Per 100k: 395
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,463
The very name of this city, Hazard, suggests its status as one of the most dangerous places in Kentucky.
Hazard has experienced some wild swings in its crime of late, with violent crime going up by 58% between 2013-15, while property crime fell by 41% in the same time period.
This drop in property crime was a necessary change for Hazard to not have the #1 spot on this list.
Population: 15,413Violent Crimes Per 100k: 337
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,553
Located just across the Ohio River from Cincinnati, Newport is the 2nd most dangerous place in Kentucky overall.
It may not be the most violent place, but since residents faced a 1 in 18.0 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2015, its overall crime ranking is pretty poor.
While their abysmal property crime has improved 12% in recent years, violent crime has seen a 17% increase — probably not a good trade in the eyes of most Newport residents.
Population: 24,968Violent Crimes Per 100k: 308
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,763
Paducah is the 3rd most dangerous city in Kentucky overall.
From 2014, the property crime rate dropped, which is good news for people who like knowing that their stuff is safe.
The bad news for people who like their safety, though, is that violent crime ranks 11th in Kentucky.
4. Bowling Green
Population: 63,346Violent Crimes Per 100k: 355
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,952
A city of Warren County, Bowling Green’s ranked as the 4th most dangerous city in Kentucky.
With regards to crime, Bowling Green has little to celebrate of late, with violent and property crime rates each going up by roughly 11% between 2013-15.
There’s now a 1 in 18.8 chance of being the victim of a crime.
Population: 680,550Violent Crimes Per 100k: 631
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,166
Louisville is the 1st most violent city, with residents facing a 1 in 158 chance of being the victim of violence in 2015.
Progress has been made in recent years, however, reflected by a 12% drop in violent crime, and an 11% drop in property crime between 2013-15.
Population: 15,733Violent Crimes Per 100k: 521
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,845
A suburb of Louisville, Shively is the 2nd most violent place in Kentucky, though its decent property crime statistics keep it off the top of this list.
And things have only been getting worse in terms of violence — the 1 in 191 chance of being the victim of a violent crime in 2015 represented an 11% increase from 2011.
Property crime fell by nearly the same percentage, but that doesn’t seem like a very good trade.
Population: 27,603Violent Crimes Per 100k: 336
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,097
Frankfort, located in Franklin County, is the 7th most dangerous and 7th most violent city in Kentucky.
Violent crime has remained high from 2013-15, during which time property crime fell by only small amounts.
Population: 6,166Violent Crimes Per 100k: 324
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,135
Folks who live in little Princeton have the 308 highest chance of being the victim of a rape or attack. The city, located in Kentucky, has seen a moderate population decline in recent years, perhaps due to the crime happening within its city limits.
In 2015, 1 out of 22.4 Princeton residents were the victim of a crime.
Population: 18,462Violent Crimes Per 100k: 249
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,264
Located 24 miles east of Lexington, Winchester’s motto is Rich in History and Ready for the Future.
That’s a pretty accurate way to describe their violent crime numbers — a rich history of violent crime that’s been reformed in recent years. This city’s violence has dropped recently and maintained into 2015.
To give some perspective into how impressive this improvement is, consider how in 2011, Winchester residents faced a 1 in 128 chance of being the victim of violence which compares to a 1 in 401.
Population: 11,380Violent Crimes Per 100k: 307
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,182
A city of Taylor County, Campbellsville’s ranked as the 10th most dangerous city in Kentucky.
With regards to crime, Campbellsville has little to celebrate of late, with violent and property crime rates each going up by roughly 11% between 2013-15.
There’s now a 1 in 22.3 chance of being the victim of a crime.
Locking It All Up In Kentucky
The latest FBI crime data shows that Hazard ranks as the most dangerous city in Kentucky for 2017.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Hazard’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Kentucky:
- Fort Thomas
For more Kentucky reading , check out:
- These Are The 10 Best Places To Retire In Kentucky
- These Are The 10 Fastest Growing Cities In Kentucky
- These Are The 10 Worst Places To Live In Kentucky
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In Kentucky
|62||Lakeside Park-Crestview Hills||6,119|