Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Missouri?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Missouri — and anyone looking to move to Missouri — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Show Me State:
- Springfield (Photos)
- St. Louis (Photos)
- Aurora (Photos)
- Branson (Photos)
- Maplewood (Photos)
- Jennings (Photos)
- Kennett (Photos)
- Sedalia (Photos)
- Joplin (Photos)
Why did Springfield take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in Missouri.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Missouri for 2017?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the second release of 2015 data, specifically the 2015 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2016 in September 2017.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 123 cities in Missouri.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 123 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Missouri — Springfield. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Missouri.
Population: 166,860Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,355
Property Crimes Per 100k: 7,795
The third-largest city in Missouri is a dangerous one. Though crime looks like it ticked down recently, it’s still, statistically, the most dangerous place in the state of Missouri.
Residents here have a 1 in 86 chance of being the victim of a violent crime, which includes rape, aggravated assault, and murders.
2. St. Louis
Population: 317,095Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,817
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,316
St. Louis, otherwise known as the “Live Entertainment Capital of the World” is certainly lively when it comes to nighttime activities. This tiny city on the Arkansas border ranks 15.8 in the state for property crimes.
Residents here in St. Louis have a 1 in 12.3 chance of being the victim of a crime in 2015, which was the last reporting year. That means if you live in St. Louis, someone you know was likely the victim of a theft, home break-in or arson.
Population: 8,275 Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,015
Property Crimes Per 100k: 7,105
Nevada Missouri, located right along the Kansas border, has seen crime within its city limits head downwards over the last few years, but it?s still a relatively dangerous place.
Chances are if you live in Nevada, someone you know was the victim of a break-in or theft in recent years, as nearly 1 in 10 residents had a run in with a criminal since 2010.
Population: 7,437Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,371
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,064
The 99th-largest city in Missouri is a dangerous one. Though crime looks like it ticked down recently, it’s still, statistically, the 4th most dangerous place in the state of Missouri.
Residents here have a 1 in 72 chance of being the victim of a violent crime, which includes rape, aggravated assault, and murders.
Population: 11,517Violent Crimes Per 100k: 711
Property Crimes Per 100k: 13,276
Branson, otherwise known as the ?Live Entertainment Capital of the World? is certainly lively when it comes to nighttime activities. This tiny city on the Arkansas border ranks first in the state for property crimes.
Residents here in Branson have a 1 in 8 chance of being the victim of a crime in 2015, which was the last reporting year. That means if you live in Branson, someone you know was likely the victim of a theft, home break-in or arson.
Population: 7,945Violent Crimes Per 100k: 629
Property Crimes Per 100k: 8,344
Maplewood is not the refuge that you might be expecting — it ranks as the 6th most dangerous city in Missouri.
It has the 2nd highest property crime rate in the state.
On the plus side, it has the 17th highest overall violent crime rate, meaning it’s not even in the top 10% of cities in Missouri.
Put differently, violent crime isn’t a problem to the same extent property crime is in the city.
Population: 14,738Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,838
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,190
The tiny town of Jennings might not be familiar to most residents of Missouri. Situated right near the Arkansas state line, Jennings has really seen crime rise very quickly in the last few years.
For instance, there were 271 violent crimes in the entire city. For a town of 14,738, that’s a lot.
Residents in Jennings have a 1 in 19.3 chance of being the victim of a property crime, according to the FBI.
Population: 10,763Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,049
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,500
Kennett is the most populous city in Dunklin County.
Kennett experienced a massive rise in violent crime between 2013-15.
Property crime statistics, meanwhile, remained stagnant, with residents facing a 1 in 18.2 chance of being the victim of theft or arson each year — the 14th highest rate in the state.
Population: 21,513Violent Crimes Per 100k: 785
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,619
A city of Pettis County, Sedalia’s ranked as the 9th most dangerous city in Missouri.
With regards to crime, Sedalia has little to celebrate of late, with violent and property crime rates each going up by roughly 11% between 2013-15.
There’s now a 1 in 15.6 chance of being the victim of a crime.
Population: 51,412Violent Crimes Per 100k: 606
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,834
Joplin has the 21st highest rate of violent crime, giving it a 10th place danger ranking overall.
Folks in Joplin had a 1 in 164 chance of being the victim of a violent crime in 2015, a 5% increase from 2014.
Property crime went up during this interval, giving a Joplin resident a 1 in 14.6 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2015.
Locking It All Up In Missouri
The latest FBI crime data shows that Springfield ranks as the most dangerous city in Missouri for 2017.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Springfield’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Missouri:
- Bonne Terre
- Pleasant Hill
For more Missouri reading , check out:
- These Are The 10 Best Places To Retire In Missouri
- These Are The 10 Murder Capitals Of Missouri
- These Are The 10 Most Dangerous Cities in Missouri
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In Missouri