Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in North Carolina?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of North Carolina — and anyone looking to move to North Carolina — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
As an important note: Durham does not report crime to the FBI, so they will be absent from this list. Now that that disclaimer is out o the way…
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Tar Heel State:
- Oxford (Photos)
- Kinston (Photos)
- Laurinburg (Photos)
- Forest City (Photos)
- Wadesboro (Photos)
- Henderson (Photos)
- Goldsboro (Photos)
- Roanoke Rapids (Photos)
- Pineville (Photos)
Why did Lumberton take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in North Carolina.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in North Carolina for 2018?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2016 data, specifically the 2016 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2017 in October 2018.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 90 cities in North Carolina.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 90 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in North Carolina — Lumberton. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in North Carolina.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in North Carolina.
Population: 21,683 Rank Last Year: 1 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,812
Property Crimes Per 100k: 13,826
Lumberton is, statistically one of the most violent place to live in North Carolina — clocking in at 1st overall for 2018. In 2016, there were 393 violent crimes there, meaning residents have a 1 in 55 chance of being raped, attacked or outright killed.
To put this into perspective, since the average person has 300 Facebook friends, if every single one of them lived in Lumberton, ~5 of them would have faced death last year.
Population: 8,794Rank Last Year: 4 (Up 2)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,137
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,095
A city of Granville County, Oxford’s ranked as the 2nd most dangerous city in North Carolina.
With regards to crime, Oxford has little to celebrate of late, with violent and property crime rates each going up by roughly 11% between 2014-16.
There’s now a 1 in 13.8 chance of being the victim of a crime.
Population: 21,268Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,208
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,093
A smaller city on this list, Kinston has experienced some wild swings in crime in recent years.
While instances of violent crime fell to 257 between 2014-16, property crime now stands at 8th worst.
If they could get the same magic working for property crime as they have for violence, Kinston may one day be the idyllic place its residents want it to be.
Population: 15,423Rank Last Year: 5 (Up 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,303
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,841
Laurinburg, a representive from Scotland County finds itself as one of the most dangerous cities in North Carolina.
Laurinburg’s ranking for violent crime and property were 2nd and 11th, respectively.
Laurinburg is a bit off the beaten path, yet it still manages its fair share of crime.
5. Forest City
Population: 7,246 Rank Last Year: 15 (Up 10)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 772
Property Crimes Per 100k: 7,093
Forest City, located in Rutherford County, is the 5th most dangerous and 10th most violent city in North Carolina.
Violent crime has remained high from 2014-16, during which time property crime fell by only small amounts.
Population: 5,541Rank Last Year: 6 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,118
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,973
The tiny town of Wadesboro might not be familiar to most residents of North Carolina. Wadesboro has really seen crime rise very quickly in the last few years.
For instance, there were 62 violent crimes in the entire city. For a town of 5,541, that’s a lot.
Residents in Wadesboro have a 1 in 16.7 chance of being the victim of a property crime, according to the FBI.
Population: 15,249 Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,049
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,724
The hometown of Charlie Rose isn’t so rosy right now when you look at the recent crime numbers. There were more than 200 violent crimes in this small town in 2016, and as of the recent criminal rankings, the numbers are climbing steadily.
If you live in Henderson, NC, you have a 1 of 10 chance of being the victim of a property crime.
Population: 35,871 Rank Last Year: 3 (Down 5)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,084
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,572
Crime in Goldsboro has been heading in the right direction over the past few years, as both property and violent crimes have been on the decrease since 2011. Perhaps the former home of Andy Griffith could use more help of Matlock-type lawyers to help solve some of Goldsboro’s recent crimes.
Goldsboro residents have a 1 in 17.9 chance of being the victim of a property crime, good for 15th worst in the state. Additionally, they have a 1 in 92 chance of being the victim of a violent crime, 6th worst in North Carolina.
9. Roanoke Rapids
Population: 15,273 Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 707
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,842
Roanoke Rapids has more violent crime than most cities in the Tar Heel State.
While property crime dropped by 10% between 2014-16, violent crime rose by 11%, producing very little net gain for the city’s overall crime rate.
In 2016, Roanoke Rapids residents had a 1 in 14.6 chance of being the victim of a violent crime.
Population: 8,626Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 614
Property Crimes Per 100k: 14,154
Pineville is basically Lumberton, without all the murder.
Onf of the smallest places to make this list, Pineville ranks as the 10th most dangerous city in North Carolina.
There’s a 1 in 7.1 chance being robbed in 2016. Yikes.
Locking It All Up In North Carolina
The latest FBI crime data shows that Lumberton ranks as the most dangerous city in North Carolina for 2018.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Lumberton’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in North Carolina:
- Holly Springs
For more North Carolina reading , check out:
- If You’re From North Carolina This Will Be The Most Jaw-Dropping Thing You See Today. No Contest.
- These Are The 10 Best Cities For Hippies In North Carolina
- The 10 Bona Fide Happiest Cities In North Carolina
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In North Carolina
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|Boiling Spring Lakes||60||–||5,873|