Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in North Dakota?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of North Dakota — and anyone looking to move to North Dakota — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Peace Garden State:
- Fargo (Photos)
- Jamestown (Photos)
- Bismarck (Photos)
- Grand Forks (Photos)
- Mandan (Photos)
- Minot (Photos)
- Devils Lake (Photos)
- Valley City (Photos)
- Williston (Photos)
Why did Fargo take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in North Dakota.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in North Dakota for 2018?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2016 data, specifically the 2016 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2017 in October 2018.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 2,000 in population. That left us with 22 cities in North Dakota.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 22 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in North Dakota — Fargo. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in North Dakota.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in North Dakota.
Population: 121,217Rank Last Year: 4 (Up 3)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 385
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,170
The biggest city in North Dakota, Fargo is probably best known from the Coen brother’s movie about a crime gone wrong.
Fargo has plenty of real crime too, though, and its only gotten worse in recent years — violent crime now sits at 2nd worst in North Dakota while property crime is 4th worst.
Population: 15,417Rank Last Year: 8 (Up 6)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 408
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,055
Jamestown residents had a 1 in 244 chance of being the victim of a rape, murder, or assault in 2016 — the highest of any city in North Dakota for the year.
Population: 73,248Rank Last Year: 16 (Up 13)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 289
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,374
North Dakota’s capital and second biggest city, Bismarck is located on the east bank of the Missouri River in the south central part of the state.
Though violent crime went up between 2014-16, the property crime rate was reduced, making it one of the only cities on this list to drop crime in at least one category.
4. Grand Forks
Population: 57,853Rank Last Year: 7 (Up 3)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 305
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,081
Located on the border of Minnesota, Grand Forks is the 3rd largest city in North Dakota, and the 4th most dangerous.
Though violent crime in Grand Forks rose between 2014-16, property crime dropped, making it one of only two cities on this list to see a net reduction in crime during that time period.
Population: 22,011Rank Last Year: 6 (Up 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 218
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,648
Just across the Missouri River from Bismarck, Mandan is close behind the capital in its crime rate.
Unlike Bismarck, crime has only gotten worse in recent years in Mandan, with violent crime going up between 2014-16.
Mandan residents had a 1 in 27.4 chance of being the victim of a property crime in 2016.
Population: 4,237Rank Last Year: 3 (Down 3)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 306
Property Crimes Per 100k: 2,666
Located in northeastern North Dakota, Grafton’s population has been slowly dwindling, going in the opposite direction of most cities in the state.
While the rate of property crime has been stagnant in recent years, violent crime went up between 2014-16.
This left Grafton residents with a 1 in 37.5 chance of being the victim of violence in 2016.
Population: 51,265Rank Last Year: 5 (Down 2)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 269
Property Crimes Per 100k: 2,678
Minot has the 8th worst property crime rate in the state.
Property crime rose between 2014-16, leaving residents of Minot with a 1 in 37.3 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2016.
At least violent crime fell during this interval.
8. Devils Lake
Population: 7,394Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 94
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,246
Devils Lake is ranked as the 1st worst for property crime in North Dakota — Devils Lake residents faced about 1 in 23.5 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2016.
The good news is that Devils Lake is the only place on this list to experience a reduction in both types of crime between 2014-16.
9. Valley City
Population: 6,680Rank Last Year: 10 (Up 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 194
Property Crimes Per 100k: 2,799
Valley City is the most populous city in Barnes County.
Valley City experienced a massive rise in violent crime between 2014-16.
Property crime statistics, meanwhile, remained stagnant, with residents facing a 1 in 35.7 chance of being the victim of theft or arson each year — the 7th highest rate in the state.
Population: 29,929Rank Last Year: 2 (Down 8)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 250
Property Crimes Per 100k: 2,318
Located in the northwestern part of North Dakota, Williston has also seen a huge increase in its population recently.
And this came with a massive growth in the crime rate — a 58% bump in violent crime and an enormous 147% increase in property crime from 2014-16.
That surge in property crime left residents of Williston a 1 in 43.1 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2016, the 11th worst rate in the state for the year.
Locking It All Up In North Dakota
The latest FBI crime data shows that Fargo ranks as the most dangerous city in North Dakota for 2018.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Fargo’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in North Dakota:
For more North Dakota reading , check out:
- These Are The 10 Most Redneck Cities In North Dakota
- These Are The 10 Worst Places To Live In North Dakota
- These Are The 10 Drunkest Cities In North Dakota
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In North Dakota