Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Oregon?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Oregon — and anyone looking to move to Oregon — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Beaver State for 2019:
- Seaside (Photos)
- Portland (Photos)
- Medford (Photos)
- Coos Bay (Photos)
- Lincoln City (Photos)
- Astoria (Photos)
- Salem (Photos)
- Eugene (Photos)
- Cottage Grove (Photos)
- Madras (Photos)
After analyzing 58 cities in Oregon, why did Seaside take the top spot?
For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on.
Or learn more about the safest places in Oregon.
For more Oregon reading, check out:
- 10 Best Places To Live In Oregon
- These Are The 10 Best Counties To Live In Oregon
- 10 Cheapest Places To Live In Oregon
Graphing The Most Dangerous And Safest Places In Oregon
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Oregon for 2019?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2017 data, specifically the 2017 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available in September 2019.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 58 cities in Oregon.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 58 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Oregon — Seaside.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Oregon.
Seaside ranked 5th overall for property crime, while 1st for violent crime.
So we all knew Portland has a lot of avant-garde hipsters and various disciples of American counter-culture, but the biggest city in Oregon also has one of the worst crime rates in the state.
Residents of the hippest place on Earth had a 1 in 193 chance of being murdered, raped, or assaulted in 2017, and a 1 in 17.6 chance of being the victim of theft or arson.
That’s definitely not cool.
In the southwestern part of the state, Medford is the 3rd most violent city in Oregon.
Unfortunately, Medford has experienced a quick and steady rise in its crime in recent years, with both violent and property crime increasing between 2015-17.
In 2017, residents of Medford had a 1 in 220 chance of being the victim of violence.
Unlike some of the other cities on this list, Coos Bay has been working towards reducing the rate of violent crime, with impressive results.
Coos Bay experienced a drop in violent crime between 2015-17, which is cause for celebration, unlike the increase in property crime.
Residents of Coos Bay has a 1 in 13.1 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2017.
Named after Abe Lincoln, Lincoln City is the smallest city to make this list.
And this city in of northwestern Oregon has been making great strides to get off this list altogether — the violent crime rate fell between 2015-17.
That’s means residents have a 1 in 183 chance of being a victim of violence in 2017.
Astoria placed 6th in our ranking of the most dangerous cities in the Beaver State.
This city’s violence now stands a 1 in 273 chance of being the victim of a violent crime. That compares to a 1 in 22.1 chance of being the victim of property crime. That’s pretty bad for a city of about 9,857 people.
Salem experienced a rise in violent crime between 2015-17.
Still, the 1 in 264 chance Salem residents faced of being the victim of violence in 2017 is still lower than other places in the state.
Meanwhile, you have a 1 in 23.6 chance of being the victim of a property crime, making Salem the 12th worst city in Oregon with regards to theft and arson.
Eugene placed 8th on our list due, in part, to a 1 in 26.8 chance of being the victim of a property crime.
A smaller city on this list, located in western Oregon, Cottage Grove has experienced some wild swings in crime in recent years.
While instances of violent crime fell to 30 between 2015-17, property crime now stands at 7th worst.
If they could get the same magic working for property crime as they have for violence, Cottage Grove may one day be the idyllic place its residents want it to be.
Coming in as the 10th most dangerous city in Oregon is Madras.
While violent crime has been steadily dropping in recent years, with a 10% total drop in violent crime from 2015-17, property crime went up by nearly the same rate during this interval.
That left residents of Madras a 1 in 1229.3 chance of being the victim of a property crime in 2017, and a 1 in 261 chance of being the victim of violence.
Locking It All Up In Oregon
The latest FBI crime data shows that Seaside ranks as the most dangerous city in Oregon for 2019.
We want to point out again that there’s still safes places in Seaside and that this isn’t a comment on the people that live there. So please don’t beat us up.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Oregon:
- Umatilla (Pop. 7,009)
- Lake Oswego (Pop. 39,318)
- Junction City (Pop. 6,174)
For more Oregon reading, check out:
- 10 Best Places To Raise A Family In Oregon
- These Are The 10 Best Places To Retire In Oregon For 2018
- These Are The 10 Richest Cities In Oregon
- 10 Safest Places In Oregon
- 10 Worst Places To Live In Oregon
Detailed List Of The Most Dangerous Cities In Oregon