Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Arkansas?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Arkansas — and anyone looking to move to Arkansas — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Natural State:
- Pine Bluff (Photos)
- Little Rock (Photos)
- Blytheville (Photos)
- Forrest City (Photos)
- Hot Springs (Photos)
- West Memphis (Photos)
- El Dorado (Photos)
- Hope (Photos)
- Newport (Photos)
- Fort Smith (Photos)
Why did Pine Bluff take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in Arkansas.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Arkansas for 2018?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2016 data, specifically the 2016 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2017 in October 2018.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 59 cities in Arkansas.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 59 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Arkansas — Pine Bluff. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Arkansas.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Arkansas.
1. Pine Bluff
Population: 43,976Rank Last Year: 3 (Up 2)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,603
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,335
Pine Bluff takes the top spot as the most dangerous city in Arkansas. And while that’s probably not a major surprise to that many people, it’s how the data plays out.
So that makes this just as good a time as any to say that even though Pine Bluff ranks as having the highest violent crime rate in the state, it’s really not all that “dangerous”. You see, your chance of being a victim of a violent crime is only about 1 in 62 and those odds go down further the more common sense you use.
So while there might be some more violent parts of town, overall, the quality of life can be quite high in one of the most dangerous cities in Arkansas.
2. Little Rock
Population: 198,800Rank Last Year: 2 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,531
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,898
There’s no surprise here, as Little Rock, time after time, has been cited by media as one of the most dangerous cities in the entire country. It only ranks lower than Blythesville in this study because we considered smaller sized cities than national rankings.
Little Rock has, by far, more violent crime than any city in Arkansas. Residents in the capital have a 1 in 65 chance of being the victim of a violent crime each year, according to the FBI. And, after a year in which violent crimes went downward a bit in 2015, crime rates went back up in 2016.
Population: 14,523Rank Last Year: 1 (Down 2)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,404
Property Crimes Per 100k: 6,031
This small town in northwest Arkansas, near the Missouri state line, really packs a punch when it comes to crime rate. Residents in Blytheville have a 1 in 71 chance of being the victim of a rape, murder or aggravated assault, according to the most recent FBI report.
Much worse, residents here have a 1 in 16.6 chance of being the victim of a property crime, such as a car theft or home robbery. Chances are, if you live in Blytheville, someone on your street had something stolen from them this year.
Crime continues to tick upwards in the last three reporting years, and Blytheville’s population has dropped almost 25% since the year 2000.
4. Forrest City
Population: 14,544Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,175
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,933
While property crimes went down in 2013, violent crimes were up, and residents here had a 1 in 112 chance of being attacked, raped or killed, according to the latest data.
The Reverend Al Green, known as a resident of Forrest City, might need to do some extra preaching to get residents to stop with all the criminal activity here.
5. Hot Springs
Population: 35,716Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 775
Property Crimes Per 100k: 8,069
Hot Springs is the most populous city in Garland County.
Hot Springs experienced a massive rise in violent crime between 2014-16.
Property crime statistics, meanwhile, remained stagnant, with residents facing a 1 in 12.4 chance of being the victim of theft or arson each year — the 1st highest rate in the state.
6. West Memphis
Population: 24,818Rank Last Year: 6 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,857
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,835
West Memphis ranks 1st and 16th for violent and property crime.
And while the city is about half a violent as some other cities, its below average score still earns it the title of 6th most dangerous city in Arkansas.
The good news is that violent crime was reduced by about 10% from 2014-16, but the bad news is that property crime rose by 21% in that period.
7. El Dorado
Population: 18,297Rank Last Year: 11 (Up 4)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,060
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,667
El Dorado is Arkansas’s 22nd biggest town and 7th most dangerous.
In recent years, the crime rate has changed dramatically in El Dorado, for better and for worse.
On the one hand, instances of violent crime dropped between 2014-16, but on the other, a hike in property crime during this interval leaves El Dorado as the town with the 10th highest rate of property crime in Arkansas.
Population: 9,852Rank Last Year: 9 (Up 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,228
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,953
The city motto for Hope, located in southwestern Arkansas, is “A Slice of the Good Life,”, however, considering the amount of crimes happening here, residents might not feel like they are actually able to let their guards down.
The hometown of both President Bill Clinton and Mike Huckabee has seen violent crime chances go to 1 in 81 when 121 violent crimes occured. “Hope”fully crime gets better soon.
Population: 7,733Rank Last Year: 4 (Down 5)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 931
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,845
Newport is the 9th most dangerous city in Arkansas overall.
From 2015, the property crime rate dropped, which is good news for people who like knowing that their stuff is safe.
The bad news for people who like their safety, though, is that violent crime ranks 10th in Arkansas.
10. Fort Smith
Population: 88,573Rank Last Year: 10 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 803
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,903
Fort Smith isn’t in the top ten for either category of crime in Arkansas, but its cumulatively bad score earns it the last spot on this list.
Violent crime sits at 14th overall in 2016, while property crime ranks 7th.
Locking It All Up In Arkansas
The latest FBI crime data shows that Pine Bluff ranks as the most dangerous city in Arkansas for 2018.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Pine Bluff’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Arkansas:
- Bella Vista
For more Arkansas reading , check out:
- A Hilarious Look At The 10 Most Redneck Cities In Arkansas
- These Are The 10 Most Dangerous Places in Arkansas
- These Are The 10 Most Boring Cities In Arkansas
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In Arkansas
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