Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in New York?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of New York — and anyone looking to move to New York — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
And, maybe to your surprise, New York, NY doesn’t make appearance until spot number 53 on the list. Furthermore, Alabny fell out of the top ten to number 12. Here’s a look into the ten cities which are currently the most dangerous in the Empire State:
- Niagara Falls (Photos)
- Buffalo (Photos)
- Troy (Photos)
- Binghamton (Photos)
- Rochester (Photos)
- Herkimer Village
- Watertown (Photos)
- Johnson City Village
- Syracuse (Photos)
- Gloversville (Photos)
Why did Niagara Falls take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in New York.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in New York for 2017?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the second release of 2015 data, specifically the 2015 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2016 in September 2017.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 215 cities in New York.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 215 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in New York — Niagara Falls. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in New York.
1. Niagara Falls
Population: 48,989Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,132
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,156
Most people know the town of Niagara Falls for the giant waterfalls that are a gift from Mother Nature. Unfortunately, to actually live in Niagara Falls is not so peaceful.
Niagara Falls has the 2nd highest violent crime ranking in the entire state of New York, and the property crime rate ranks 4th worst in the state. In fact, in 2015, there were 2,526 property crimes committed. That’s a lot of stolen property.
Population: 258,096Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,118
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,330
Unfortunately, Buffalo Wings aren’t the only thing that Buffalo has a lot of. It also has the 3rd highest violent crime rate in all of New York. In 2015, for example, there were 2,887 violent crimes committed in Buffalo.
That being said, there are slightly less property crimes–Buffalo ranks 3rd for most property crimes in the state.
Population: 49,872Violent Crimes Per 100k: 858
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,036
Troy is relatively comparable with Buffalo. There is slightly less violent crime and property crime in Troy than in Buffalo, but the cities deal with similar safety issues.
However, though Troy has slightly less violent and property crime, both types of crimes have actually increased in numbers over the past three years, whereas Buffalo’s rates have decreased. So let’s hope Troy doesn’t start moving up this list?
Population: 46,048Violent Crimes Per 100k: 673
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,543
While there is certainly less violent crime in Binghamton than in Rochester or Buffalo, there is actually more property crime. In 2015, there were 2,092 property crimes.
Overall, the city of 46,048 ranked as the 4th most dangerous in New York.
Population: 209,922Violent Crimes Per 100k: 876
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,937
Rochester is the third most dangerous city in New York.
On the upside, there were 1,000 less property crimes in 2015 than the year before in 2014, so we can only hope the numbers will keep decreasing.
6. Herkimer Village
Population: 7,559 Violent Crimes Per 100k: 621
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,775
Located in Fulton County, Herkimer Village hasn’t experienced much of a change in its crime statistics recently.
Its relatively poor violent crime statistics went up between 2013-15, while property crime fell by a very small amount to 361 occurrences.
Population: 27,717Violent Crimes Per 100k: 523
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,784
Watertown ranks highly for the occurrence of crime. In particular, violent crime rates in Watertown stick out for being the 19th worst in New York.
There were 145 violent crimes in Watertown, but that’s down from earlier in the decade.
A City Data user says, “I dO NOT recommend Watertown for a single person looking to get out there and have fun and meet people.” Probably because going out there leads to crime.
8. Johnson City Village
Population: 14,752 Violent Crimes Per 100k: 481
Property Crimes Per 100k: 7,151
While the violent crime is certainly lower than others on this list, Johnson City Village is actually ranked the worst place in New York when it comes to property crime.
The uncertainty of safety when it comes to property and belongings is why Johnson City Village comes in at 8th on this list of most dangerous cities in New York, one spot better than last year.
Population: 144,027Violent Crimes Per 100k: 792
Property Crimes Per 100k: 3,531
Syracuse is a large city with one of the higher populations on this list. It has the 7th highest violent crime rate in New York and has the 22nd worst property crime rank in the state. In 2015 alone, there were 5,087 property crimes.
That being said, the violent crime is decreasing in the state, meaning there is hope that Syracuse can be a less violent place in the years to come. Let’s just hope the property crime rates begin to drop as well.
Population: 15,002Violent Crimes Per 100k: 546
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,159
Gloversville is the least populated city on this list, as well as the least violent.
Residents of Gloversville faced a 1 in 24.0 chance of being the victim of a property crime in 2015.
Gloversville has been improving a lot lately too, with reductions in both violent and property crime between 2013-15.
Locking It All Up In New York
The latest FBI crime data shows that Niagara Falls ranks as the most dangerous city in New York for 2017.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Niagara Falls’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in New York:
- Lewisboro Town
- Elmira Town
- Kirkland Town
For more New York reading , check out:
- These Are The 10 Best Places To Retire In New York
- These Are The 10 Sexiest Cities In New York
- These Are The 10 Safest Places In New York According To Science
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In New York
|8||Johnson City Village||14,752|
|35||Seneca Falls Town||8,813|
|56||Port Chester Village||29,654|
|73||East Greenbush Town||16,426|
|75||New Hartford Town And Village||20,481|
|76||Spring Valley Village||32,795|
|84||New Paltz Town And Village||14,119|
|87||Hudson Falls Village||7,206|
|89||East Rochester Village||6,722|
|90||New Windsor Town||26,507|
|93||Camillus Town And Village||24,306|
|97||Pelham Manor Village||5,604|
|99||North Greenbush Town||12,132|
|100||Saranac Lake Village||5,298|