Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Texas?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Texas — and anyone looking to move to Texas — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
The data shows that these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Lone Star State:
- Bellmead (Photos)
- Palmview (Photos)
- Cleveland (Photos)
- Humble (Photos)
- Lubbock (Photos)
- Alamo (Photos)
- Texarkana (Photos)
- La Marque (Photos)
- Beaumont (Photos)
Why did Bellmead take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in Texas.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Texas for 2018?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the JUST released 2016 data, specifically the 2016 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2017 in October 2018.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 331 cities in Texas.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 331 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Texas — Bellmead. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Texas.
Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Texas.
Population: 10,212 Rank Last Year: 2 (Up 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,488
Property Crimes Per 100k: 7,265
Bellmead earns the top spot on this list mostly by having a terrible rate of property crime, with residents facing a ridiculously high 1 in 13.8 chance of being the victim of a property crime in 2016.
That means that, statistically, almost every neighborhood in Bellmead has at least one resident who’s the victim of theft or arson each year.
Don’t let the 2nd place ranking for violence fool you either — for every 67 residents in Bellmead, there was 1 instance of violent crime in 2016, which is makes violence pretty darn common in Bellmead.
Population: 5,763 Rank Last Year: 5 (Up 3)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,440
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,205
Palmview is the smallest city to make this list, but don’t let that fool you — the city is also one of the most violent in the state.
Palmview residents had a 1 in 69 chance of being the victim of a violent crime in 2016.
The only reason Palmview is so low on this list is because it has the lowest frequency of property crime (about 1 per 300 residents in 2016) of any city on this list.
Population: 7,893Rank Last Year: 1 (Down 2)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 899
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,637
Cleveland, located in Liberty County, is the 3rd most dangerous and 13th most violent city in Texas.
Violent crime has remained high from 2014-16, during which time property crime fell by only small amounts.
Population: 15,770Rank Last Year: 3 (Down 1)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 767
Property Crimes Per 100k: 9,936
Tiny Humble, the smallest city by far in our top 20, is where muggers go to thrive. There were the 1st-most robberies per capita in the entire state in 2016 here.
Humble borders the George Bush International Airport to the east. Is it a coincidence that so many robberies take place so close to a major airport?
Population: 252,900Rank Last Year: 7 (Up 2)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,083
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,006
A bigger city in Texas, Lubbock finds itself as the 5th most dangerous city in Texas.
Lubbock has plenty of both types of crime — violent crime now sits at 7th worst in Texas while property crime is 21st worst.
Population: 19,409 Rank Last Year: 6 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 855
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,219
Located just a stone’s throw from Weslaco on Interstate 2 lies Alamo. Crime has steadily remained a real concern here since 2011. Currently, 1 out of 116 residents has the chance of being the victim of a violent crime here.
Additionally, Alamo is the 15th-highest city in terms of thefts in the state of Texas.
Population: 16,672 Rank Last Year: 4 (Down 3)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,073
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,834
Continuing the trend of this area of the state of Texas being a hotbed of danger, Donna, located along Interstate 2, is one of the places to avoid. Residents in Donna have a 1 in 20.7 chance of being the victim of a car theft or home invasion robbery.
The average American has 338 contacts on Facebook. To put that into perspective, more than 20 people you’re friends with would have been robbed last year if all of them lived in Donna, Texas.
Population: 37,442Rank Last Year: 8 (No Change)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 838
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,007
No surprises here that Texarkana ranked so high on the list, because we ran a study on the most dangerous cities in Arkansas, and Texarkana, Arkansas was really high on that list.
Residents in Texarkana have a 1 in 20.0 chance of being the victim of a property crime, meaning a car theft, home break-in or fraud. However, crime in Texarkana has been steadily declining over the last few years, which is a good thing,
9. La Marque
Population: 16,191Rank Last Year: N/A
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 759
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,218
A city in Galveston County, La Marque has seen crime become a problem over the last decade.
Perhaps that has something to do with the high rate of violent crime, with residents facing a 1 in 131 chance of being the victim of violence in 2016.
On the bright side, instances of property crime fell during this time period.
Population: 118,283Rank Last Year: 16 (Up 6)
Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,112
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,282
Beaumont is, essentially the second-most dangerous place in the state of Texas for violent crimes. Only tiny Raymondville, population 11,654, inland from South Padre Island, is statistically, more dangerous than Beaumont.
Residents in Beaumont have a staggering 1 in 90 chance of being assaulted, raped or killed every year. Yikes. And it seems to be climbing quickly in Beaumont over the last few years as well.
Locking It All Up In Texas
The latest FBI crime data shows that Bellmead ranks as the most dangerous city in Texas for 2018.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Bellmead’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Texas:
For more Texas reading , check out:
- These Are The 10 Most Boring Places In Texas
- 10 Small Towns In Texas Where You’d Never Want To Live
- These Are The 10 Most Miserable Cities In Texas
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In Texas