Do you live in one of the most dangerous cities in Texas?
We all watch the news and see reports on Facebook of the latest crimes that happen in our hometowns. But it can be hard to tell at a big picture level how dangerous our town actually is.
No one wants to feel unsafe, and statistically speaking, odds are that where you live is most likely relatively safe. In order to help the good people of Texas — and anyone looking to move to Texas — know just how close they are to danger, we took data from the annual FBI report and did some serious analysis.
Fortunately, Texas’s capital, Austin, ranked 88th. And, to some people’s surprise, San Antonio finished outside of the top-ten at 15 (behind number 10 Houston).
So without further ado, these ten cities are currently the most dangerous in the Lone Star State:
- Cleveland (Photos)
- Bellmead (Photos)
- Humble (Photos)
- Palmview (Photos)
- Alamo (Photos)
- Lubbock (Photos)
- Texarkana (Photos)
- Port Isabel (Photos)
- Houston (Photos)
Why did Cleveland take the top spot? For the answer to this question and a detailed explanation of the data and analysis we used in creating this ranking, read on. Or learn more about the safest places in Texas.
How we determined the most dangerous cities in Texas for 2017?
Every year the FBI release two crime datasets, a preliminary dataset limited to the biggest cities in the country, followed by a more detailed release at the end of the year.
For our analysis, we focused on the second release of 2015 data, specifically the 2015 Crime In The United States Report. We will update the results when data becomes available for 2016 in September 2017.
So what criteria did we use? Have a look:
- Violent Crimes Per Capita
- Property Crimes Per Capita
In order to make the analysis as apples to apples as possible, we only considered cities over 5,000 in population. That left us with 336 cities in Texas.
We then ranked each city from 1 to 336 for the two criteria with a #1 ranking being the most dangerous for the particular criteria.
Next, we averaged the two rankings into one “Dangerous Index”.
Finally, we ranked every city on the “Dangerous Index” with the lowest index being the most dangerous in Texas — Cleveland. Read on for a detailed look at the 10 most dangerous cities in Texas.
Population: 7,761Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,236
Property Crimes Per 100k: 8,993
It’s probably no surprise for most Texans to see Cleveland taking first place for most dangerous city in the state.
Cleveland experienced a rise in violent crime between 2013-15 to become the most violent in the state.
In 2015, folks in Cleveland had a 1 in 80 chance of being murdered, raped, or assaulted, and a 1 in 11.1 chance of being robbed or the victim of arson.
Population: 10,249Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,014
Property Crimes Per 100k: 11,054
Bellmead is one of the least populated city on this list, but it’s still very violent.
Residents of Bellmead faced a 1 in 9.0 chance of being the victim of a property crime in 2015.
Population: 15,734Violent Crimes Per 100k: 953
Property Crimes Per 100k: 10,753
Humble is where muggers go to thrive. There were the 2nd-most robberies per capita in the entire state in 2015 here.
Humble borders the George Bush International Airport to the east. Is it a coincidence that so many robberies take place so close to a major airport?
Population: 5,705Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,156
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,048
Palmview is the most populous city in Hidalgo County.
Palmview experienced a massive rise in violent crime between 2013-15.
Property crime statistics, meanwhile, remained stagnant, with residents facing a 1 in 19.8 chance of being the victim of theft or arson each year — the 18th highest rate in the state.
Population: 16,609 Violent Crimes Per 100k: 1,005
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,683
Continuing the trend of this area of the state of Texas being a hotbed of danger, Donna, located along Interstate 2, is one of the places to avoid. Residents in Donna have a 1 in 17.6 chance of being the victim of a car theft or home invasion robbery.
The average American has 338 contacts on Facebook. To put that into perspective, about 20 of your friends would have been robbed last year if all of them lived in Donna, Texas.
Population: 19,385Violent Crimes Per 100k: 820
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,803
Located just a stone’s throw from Weslaco on Interstate 2 lies Alamo. Crime has steadily remained a real concern here since 2011. Currently, 1 out of 121 residents has the chance of being the victim of a violent crime here.
Additionally, Alamo is the 11th-highest city in terms of thefts in the state of Texas.
Population: 247,271Violent Crimes Per 100k: 966
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,005
Lubbock is the 14th most violent of the most dangerous cities in Texas, but it’s 21st in terms of property crime.
That is partially due to a hike in property crime from 2013-15, which left residents with a 1 in 20.0 chance of being the victim of theft or arson in 2015.
Violent crime also went up during this period, so Lubbock’s trend means it might stay in the top 10 for a few years.
Population: 37,415Violent Crimes Per 100k: 759
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,088
No surprises here that Texarkana ranked so high on the list, because we ran a study on the most dangerous cities in Arkansas, and Texarkana, Arkansas was really high on that list.
Residents in Texarkana have a 1 in 19.7 chance of being the victim of a property crime, meaning a car theft, home break in or fraud. However, crime in Texarkana has been steadily declining over the last few years, which is a good thing,
9. Port Isabel
Population: 5,022Violent Crimes Per 100k: 696
Property Crimes Per 100k: 5,037
This smallish city, Port Isabel ranks as one of the most dangerous places in Texas.
Violent crime has been held steady in recent years and property crime has fallen.
Still, a 1 in 19.8 chance of being the victim of a property crime hardly seems like a cause for celebration.
Population: 2,275,221Violent Crimes Per 100k: 966
Property Crimes Per 100k: 4,397
The rivalry between Dallas and Houston is turned up a notch here, as Houston is the 10th-most dangerous place in the state of Texas. Dallas, on the other hand, is 53rd, while Fort Worth ranks 64th.
The population of Houston might make these statistics stand out like a sore thumb, but in 2015, more than 21,994 people were either killed, attacked or raped in Houston. Wow.
Locking It All Up In Texas
The latest FBI crime data shows that Cleveland ranks as the most dangerous city in Texas for 2017.
However, there will be new data coming out later this year. At that point we can revisit Cleveland’s status — that is if they haven’t beaten us all up already.
If you’re curious enough, here are the safest cities in Texas:
- Trophy Club
For more Texas reading , check out:
- These Are The 10 Most Dangerous Places In Texas
- These 15 Texas Restaurants Will Melt Your Taste Buds
- These Are The 10 Fastest Growing Cities In Texas
Detailed List Of The Most Dangeroues Cities In Texas